Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 185.309652 214.021627 246.659725 286.703961 334.777135 390.963887 462.088643
2025-09-21 144.857269 180.783143 225.650016 286.536675 368.150940 475.425408 629.893237
2025-09-28 122.992693 161.793246 213.494579 288.852436 398.330247 555.548302 805.952427
2025-10-05 112.837774 155.118703 214.631991 306.902935 450.846008 674.865341 1067.041603
2025-10-12 104.539884 149.158495 214.967203 322.623495 501.516639 801.014572 1373.784386
2025-10-19 93.860205 137.926674 205.392943 320.672063 522.486721 881.802316 1623.596625
2025-10-26 87.416750 132.127592 203.084081 329.588633 562.804975 1004.656860 1992.033098
2025-11-02 81.016157 125.498997 198.355798 333.250368 593.815365 1116.512374 2375.026303
2025-11-09 75.771233 120.076707 194.808198 338.193821 627.801365 1241.964448 2834.757847
2025-11-16 70.480456 113.952841 189.212446 338.290102 651.823604 1351.653635 3298.229782
2025-11-23 65.645677 108.089278 183.338002 336.849897 672.149725 1457.819369 3796.645172
2025-11-30 62.127898 104.180979 180.543544 341.055980 705.525571 1603.904348 4478.825497
2025-12-07 56.161335 95.684469 168.971940 327.140926 698.954132 1658.444227 4941.499777
2025-12-14 52.366876 90.882104 164.067788 327.004482 726.169479 1814.999391 5862.540464
2025-12-21 49.309889 87.129636 160.734274 329.718546 761.166675 2006.432864 7054.354326
2025-12-28 48.321123 87.233200 165.168160 350.885042 849.758551 2395.170206 9401.400895
2026-01-04 47.095665 86.719701 168.222226 369.351753 936.412455 2818.201775 12367.069446
2026-01-11 44.274806 82.686088 163.219180 367.057838 962.536157 3042.929078 14557.439097
2026-01-18 42.678265 81.020087 163.215595 377.542922 1030.630330 3458.506059 18429.760287
2026-01-25 40.769397 78.509379 161.006767 381.851459 1080.668615 3829.713628 22594.321885
2026-02-01 39.113244 76.384579 159.439653 387.670543 1137.806184 4264.655505 28027.739630
2026-02-08 37.236623 73.610018 156.032661 387.783906 1175.571243 4635.340904 33690.854189
2026-02-15 35.406981 70.784165 152.203049 386.088295 1206.760890 4995.573960 40108.300869